Scott Shane Blogging at the NYT
| Peter Klein |
Scott joins the “You’re the Boss” blogging team (via Dane Stangler).
Add comment 3 July 2009
The Professional Strategy of the Early Austrian Economists
| Peter Klein |
O&M, like other niche academic blogs, deals occasionally with the history and sociology of this or that school of economic or management thought. We think often about professional strategy — how to promote our ideas, how to secure financial and institutional support, how to recruit students and fellow-travelers (”groupies,” according to Nicolai), what competing and complementary movements and schools of thought (not to mention rival blogs) are up to, and so on.
Given our close association with the Austrian school, you might be surprised to learn that the founding Austrians were not at all “strategic” in this sense. They held strongly to the view that truth wins out in the long run, so there is no need to build formal institutions or establish a “movement.” This comes out in a passage from Mises’s recently released Memoirs (a new translation of his earlier Notes and Recollections):
It is necessary to correct the misunderstandings that can be called forth by using the expression “Austrian School.” Neither Menger nor Böhm-Bawerk wanted to found a school in the sense customarily used in university circles. They never attempted to turn young students into blind disciples, nor did they, in turn, provide these same students with professorships. They knew that through books and an academic course of instruction they could promote an understanding suited to dealing with economic problems, thus rendering an important service to society. They understood, however, that they could not rear economists. As pioneers and creative thinkers, they recognized that one cannot arrange for scientific progress, nor breed innovation according to plan. They never attempted to propagandize their theories. Truth would prevail of its own accord when man possessed the faculties necessary to perceive it. Using impertinent means to cause people to pay lip service to a teaching was of no use if they lacked the ability to grasp its substance and significance. (more…)
7 comments 2 July 2009
Does Macroeconomic Theory Influence Macroeconomic Policy?
| Peter Klein |
Not really, according to John Wood’s History of Macroeconomic Policy in the United States (Routledge, 2008). As David Wheelock notes in his EH.Net review:
Wood argues that U.S. fiscal and monetary policy have been remarkably consistent over the decades and largely uninfluenced by macroeconomic theory. Economists have rationalized more than influenced policy, Wood contends, and the direction of influence between economic theory and practice is primarily from the latter to the former.
This is of course the classic explanation for the spread of Keynesianism after 1936: rather than proposing a new approach to macroeconomic policy, the General Theory simply rationalized the massive deficit-spending and easy-money policies already in place (and long desired by disreputable economists such as Foster and Catchings).
1 comment 30 June 2009
Organizations or Markets in Morality?
| Benito Arruñada |
Moral codes can be produced and enforced through markets or through organizations. In particular, Catholic theology can be interpreted as a paradigm of the organizational production of morality. In contrast, the dominant moral codes are now produced in something resembling more a market.
The organizational character of Catholicism comes from its centralized production and enforcement of the moral code by theologians and priests and the mediation role played by the Church between God and believers. The epitome of both features is the old institution of confession of sins, a cultural universal that reaches full sophistication — for good and for bad — within Catholicism. My forthcoming JSSR paper argues that confession was a strikingly organizational solution to the production and enforcement of morality, something that Western societies now do mostly through markets. (more…)
2 comments 30 June 2009
Pioneers of Law and Economics
| Peter Klein |
Profiles of the leading scholars in contemporary law and economics, now out from Edward Elgar. Congratulations to Josh Wright and Lloyd Cohen for putting this together. Table of contents below the fold. (more…)
Add comment 29 June 2009
Gloves Are Definitively Off Now
| Lasse Lien |
Here is a pretty remarkable story about four elderly German pensioners who kidnapped and tortured their financial adviser.
Who should we feel sorry for, that’s what I want to know.
4 comments 27 June 2009
Journalists Duped Again
| Peter Klein |
From Walter Duranty to Judith Miller to recent reporting on the financial crisis (1, 2), the mainstream press continues to do what it has always done: print what it wants to be true, rather than investigate what’s actually going on. I got a chuckle out of the latest example: a French magazine that gave its student photojournalism award to a series of dramatic pictures of French youth living in poverty, only to learn the pictures were fakes. Oops! Not quite in the same class as the Sokal affair, but in the same spirit. (HT: Mario Rizzo.)
1 comment 27 June 2009
Why “Doing Business” Leads to Bad Policy
| Benito Arruñada |
In a post at the PSD blog, David Kaplan sees little difference between the “Doing Business” position and my own. He writes:
Part of Professor Arruñada’s argument is that the Doing Business indicators do not capture all the relevant components of the business environment. The writers of the Doing Business 2009 report agree. . . .
I believe that the debate is not mainly about what Doing Business measures. Really, the debate is about how these measures are used in shaping public policy. Critics of Doing Business are concerned that countries will ignore the above warnings and only reform in areas that are measured in Doing Business.
I doubt that one can separate what DB measures and how it does it from how DB measures are used in the field. My main complaint, however, is different, namely that the DB method has often led to bad policy. (more…)
2 comments 26 June 2009
Slides from Foss-Klein PhD Course
| Peter Klein |
Slides from the PhD course, “The Theory of the Firm and Its Applications in Management Research I,” are now available on the course webpage (scroll down to the bottom).
PS: Did you notice the course title ends with “I,” implying there will be a II and maybe a III? Gotta love that precommitment device. It’s as if Stallone had named his first film “Rocky I.”
2 comments 26 June 2009
Doug North Line of the Day
| Peter Klein |
From Bob Margo’s EH.Net review of North, Wallis, and Weingast’s Violence and Social Orders: A Conceptual Framework for Interpreting Recorded Human History:
In my book people are iconic if I can summarize their life’s work in ten words or less. North takes two: “Institutions matter.”
He adds: “The opposite perspective — viewed in isolation most institutions don’t matter much, being Harberger triangles and small ones at that — has its fans in modern economics. But North has convinced the majority of economic historians, a goodly share of world’s development wonks, and the Nobel Prize Committee that he’s right.”
Update: Art Carden beat me to this.
2 comments 25 June 2009
Austrian Theory of the Firm Bleg
| Peter Klein |
This post is for devotees and fellow-travelers of the Austrian school. As some of you know I maintain an online bibliography of articles and books dealing with applications of Austrian economics to the theory of the firm (and strategic management more generally). Happily, this literature has grown dramatically in the last few years. Sadly, I have not had time to update the bibliography on a consistent basis. So, please send me your suggested additions and corrections (ideally with URLs). Self-nominations are welcome!
2 comments 24 June 2009
Sid Winter on Methodology
| Peter Klein |
Overheard at last week’s DRUID conference, in Sid Winter’s discussion of three papers on technology strategy:
“Our near-exclusive focus on statistical significance has distracted us from the main task of scientific explanation: the determination of cause and effect.”
Three cheers to Sid for standing with Menger over Walras!
5 comments 24 June 2009
Copenhagen Fun
| Peter Klein |
A selection of Kleins and Fosses at Gammel Torv in central Copenhagen (another Foss is in the background, hiding behind a lamppost, and the head of Clan Klein is behind the camera). No real reason to post this except to prove that Nicolai and I both smile occasionally. Note to colleagues at home: This is a business trip, I promise.
2 comments 23 June 2009
Capitalism’s Challenges: Cycles of Expropriation
| Benito Arruñada |
Following up my previous entry on cycles of statism, I ask next: How important are cycles of expropriation? Consider, for example, how Bolivia has nationalized foreign oil firms every 34 years. In the most recent round, the nationalizing decree read:
Consider that Bolivia was the first country on the Continent to nationalize ts hydrocarbons, in 1937 with Standard Oil Co, a heroic measure, and done again in 1969 with Gulf Oil, leading the present generation to carry on the third and definitive nationalization. (Supreme Decree 28701, Evo Morales, President, May 2006).
In an experiment with Marco Casari we find similar patterns under more “democratic” circumstances. You may download the paper here.
Add comment 22 June 2009
Rajshree Agarwal on the US Government’s Response to the Financial Crisis
| Peter Klein |
Nice interview with Rajshree Agarwal on the US government’s response to the financial crisis. “Has It Helped?” Rajshree’s answer in brief: No.
1 comment 22 June 2009
Management Journal Impact Factors 2008
| Nicolai Foss |
The new ISI impact factors for 2008 have just been released. There are lots of surprises this time. The biggest one is arguably that Organization Science is now out of the top 10 range, a long drop from its #4 status in 2006 (this sucks when you got two recent papers, one forthcoming and one R&R, at this journal :-( ). The second surprise, at least to me, is that the Journal of Management has made it to #5. One possible explanation is its rather influential yearly review issues. Another surprise is that Organization Studies, which was among the top 10 in 2006, has now moved down a lot to close to #30. The Journal of Management Studies, while not among the top 10 this year, has not been harmed as badly, dropping to #14. ASQ, once the undisputed top-management journal, is now #9. Less surprising is Academy of Management Review’s #1 position (it is usually among the top 3), and that the Strategic Management Journal is #4.
The rank order down to LRP at # 36 is: AMR – AMJ – MIS Q – SMJ – JoM – ORM – JIBS – AMLE – ASQ – OBHD – RP – JPIM – Org. Sci. – JMS – RoB – JoM – JOperationsM – IMA – JMIS – Man Sci -DS – IRS – LQ – Omega – R&D Man – GOM – JIT – Techno. – Org. Stud. – Brit. JoM – Adv. Strat Man. - HBR – Int Small Bus. J – Int. J. Oper. Prod. M. – Int. J. Man. Rev. – Int. J of Forec. – LRP
A new feature of the list is the inclusion of a five-year impact factor which, given the rather turbulent movements from year to year, makes a lot of sense (and which produces a rather different rank order from the above!).
3 comments 20 June 2009
Show Us Some Love
| Peter Klein |
Thanks to Randy for these pictures of science-related tatoos. The phrase “beyond awesome” comes to mind. Who among you will be the first to get an O&M-themed body decoration?
4 comments 19 June 2009
Does Capitalism Suffer Cycles of Statism?
| Benito Arruñada |
Does the current expansion of the State reverse a previous reduction, to be reduced once again in the future? Or, alternatively, is there a sort of ratchet effect, with a trend towards greater statism disguised by cycles along such increasing trend?
I am inclined to think that cycling has not taken place around a stationary average but around an increasing tendency (see the figures). But perhaps a better way of facing these questions would be to disaggregate in different dimensions. For instance, in several papers with Veneta Andonova I argue that freedom 
of contract has been in decline for more than a century in Western Law, both in civil- and common-law countries. Something similar could probably be said about trade, but in the opposite direction. However, in both freedom of contract and trade, it might be the case that exchange opportunities have expanded mainly as a result of technological change (e.g., cheaper transportation and communications), whatever the legal constraints. In terms of research, how could these trends be measured?
These thoughts were triggered by a timely and extremely suggestive paper by Witold J. Henisz presented at the Workshop on “Manufacturing Markets” organized last week in Villa Finaly, Florence, by Eric Brousseau and Jean-Michel Glachant. My next few blogs will address other aspects of Henisz’s views on the broader challenges facing capitalism.
2 comments 18 June 2009
Sameulson on the Crisis
| Peter Klein |
Is it wrong to pick on a 94-year-old? Mario Rizzo doesn’t think so, and neither do I — if it’s Paul Samuelson, perhaps the most influential economist of the twentieth century and bête noire to Austrians, libertarians, and many other types I hold near and dear. Samuelson, champion of “scientific” economics (i.e., the nineteenth-century physics model so effectively skewered by Phil Mirowski), the neo-Keynesian synthesis, and the everything-but-the-kitchen-sink approach to economics textbooks, now says prediction is impossible and deficit spending unsustainable. What’s next, a startling pronouncement that, contrary to what Samuelson wrote in the pre-1991 editions of his textbook, the Soviet Union was not actually more productive than the US?
Bonus Keynesian material (via Ross Emmett): Did Keynes die of a bad tooth?
2 comments 18 June 2009
Events @CBS
| Peter Klein |
I’ve just arrived in Copenhagen, where I’m spending a month as a visiting professor at the SMG. Copenhagen Business School has become one of the most intellectually exciting places in Europe. This week alone the school is hosting the DRUID summer conference which features people like Anita McGahan, Sid Winter, Will Mitchell, Russ Coff, Mike Ryall, and many others, along with a workshop on corporate governance with keynotes by Mark Roe, Randall Morck, Annette Poulsen, and Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Molina. Of course these are only appetizers for the next week’s main course, the PhD seminar on The Theory of the Firm and Its Applications in Management Research conducted by Professors F. and K. Truly an embarrassment of riches!
1 comment 17 June 2009
If You’re So Smart …
| Nicolai Foss |
… that it makes sense to delegate a lot of decision-making authority to you when you perform as an agent for a principal, you may also be so smart that you can game the incentive plan. In “Ability and Agency Costs: Evidence From Polish Banking,” Douglas Frank and Tomasz Obloj, both INSEAD, argue (rightly, IMO) that the link between cognitive ability and agency costs has not yet been studied in agency theory. (more…)
1 comment 16 June 2009
Campello and Fluck
| Lasse Lien |
Here is a paper from 2006 by Maurillo Campello and Zsuzsanna Fluck that is even more interesting now than it was in 2006. If you are interested in the micro-implications of the current crisis, you’ll surely like this one.
Abstract: We model the interaction of product market competition and firms’ financing decision when firms face capital market imperfections and consumers face switching costs. In our model, consumers anticipate that capital market frictions may drive their supplier out of business and account for welfare losses that firm bankruptcy imposes upon them. Likewise, managers, when investing in long-term market share building, take into account the possibility of business failure and the residual value they may capture from the firm’s liquidation process. Our theory yields four central implications. In response to a negative shock to demand: (1) more leveraged firms will experience significant market share losses; (2) the market share losses of more leveraged firms will be more pronounced in industries where low debt usage is the norm; (3) the market share losses of more leveraged firms will be more pronounced in industries where consumers face higher switching costs; and (4) the market share losses of more leveraged firms will be magnified in industries where asset liquidation is less efficient. Using detailed firm- and industry-level data from U.S. manufacturers over the 1990-91 recession, we present empirical evidence supporting our model’s predictions. We later expand our empirical analysis, studying a large panel of firms over the various phases of the full business cycles contained in the 1976-96 period. Results from these broader tests provide additional evidence in support of our theory.
2 comments 16 June 2009
Factor-Biased Technological Change
| Dick Langlois |
Back in October, I blogged about Daron Acemoglu’s presentation at the Economic History Association meeting. There now seems to be an NBER working paper version of that talk, called “When Does Labor Scarcity Encourage Innovation?” Here is the abstract.
This paper studies the conditions under which the scarcity of a factor (in particular, labor) encourages technological progress and technology adoption. In standard endogenous growth models, which feature a strong scale effect, an increase in the supply of labor encourages technological progress. In contrast, the famous Habakkuk hypothesis in economic history claims that technological progress was more rapid in 19th-century United States than in Britain because of labor scarcity in the former country. Similar ideas are often suggested as possible reasons for why high wages might have encouraged rapid adoption of certain technologies in continental Europe over the past several decades, and as a potential reason for why environmental regulations can spur more rapid innovation. I present a general framework for the analysis of these questions. I define technology as strongly labor saving if the aggregate production function of the economy exhibits decreasing differences in the appropriate index of technology, theta, and labor. Conversely, technology is strongly labor complementary if the production function exhibits increasing differences in theta and labor. The main result of the paper shows that labor scarcity will encourage technological advances if technology is strongly labor saving. In contrast, labor scarcity will discourage technological advances if technology is strongly labor complementary. I provide examples of environments in which technology can be strongly labor saving and also show that such a result is not possible in certain canonical macroeconomic models. These results clarify the conditions under which labor scarcity and high wages encourage technological advances and the reason why such results were obtained or conjectured in certain settings, but do not always apply in many models used in the growth literature.
5 comments 15 June 2009
Peter L. Bernstein (1919-2009)
| Peter Klein |
I was saddened to learn (from Kenneth Anderson) that Peter L. Bernstein, author of Against the Gods: The Remarkable Story of Risk and other popular works, died June 5. Bernstein was a terrific writer and a clear and provocative thinker with a gift for making difficult concepts accessible. I was greatly influenced by an earlier book, Capital Ideas: The Improbable Origins of Modern Wall Street, which I came across in graduate school while searching for a dissertation topic. Bertstein’s characterization of the brokerage industry in the 1960s and early 1970s, before the deregulation of brokerage fees — an Old Boys Club, lacking competition and innovation — inspired me to examine the role of corporate internal capital markets in replicating the resource-allocation function normally performed by external capital markets, and how the growth and development of financial markets following liberalization contributed to the end of the conglomerate period.
Here are obituaries in the WSJ and NYT and here is Bernstein’s wiki.
1 comment 15 June 2009
Men of Few Words
| Peter Klein |
Those of you into Flesch-Kincaid scores and similar metrics probably appreciate men who can say a lot with a few words. The Bud Light “Dude” guy — whose Fog index, if my calculations are correct, is 1 — may be the best-known modern example:
He’s good, but before him there was Donnie Brasco:
Can your favorite academic writers be that parsimonious?
Fughetaboudit.
3 comments 13 June 2009
Schumpeter’s Ten Great Economists
| Peter Klein |
Whatever one thinks of Joseph Schumpeter as an economic theorist, everybody agrees he was a brilliant historian of economic thought. His History of Economic Analysis, published posthumously in 1954, is a dazzling, if sometimes maddening, review of virtually everything written on economic theory up to that time. A shorter collection of Schumpeter’s essays, Ten Great Economists: From Marx to Keynes, published in 1951, is now available as a free PDF, courtesy of the Mises Institute, which continues adding to its fantastic collection of online books. The ten are Marx, Walras, Menger, Marshall, Pareto, Böhm-Bawerk, Taussig, Fisher, Mitchell, and Keynes (with a brief appendix covering Knapp, Wieser, and Bortkiewicz). Great stuff.
Add comment 12 June 2009
Mises and Hayek in Progress in Human Geography
| Nicolai Foss |
It is surprising, even bizarre, to see Mises and Hayek, as well as other luminaries of 20th-century classical liberalism, being extensively cited, quoted, and discussed in one of the leading geography journals, Progress in Human Geography (here is the wiki on the field of “human geography”), specifically in the form of the printed version of an invited lecture by Jamie Peck. (more…)
1 comment 10 June 2009
Sid Winter and Alice Rivlin on the Current Crisis
| Nicolai Foss |
Sidney G. Winter is a towering figure in management research, essentially being the current thought leader in the strategic management field as it pertains to issues of capabilities, routines, knowledge assets, etc. Most of his work in strategic management is founded on his earlier work in evolutionary economics (notably this seminal volume). Winter is married to Alice Rivlin, a long-time critic of Reagan-era economic policies and a high-ranking bureaucrat under Johnson and Clinton.
Here is Winter and Rivlin on “fixing the global financial system.” Winter thinks that business schools are partly to blame, but is not very concrete in his critique (at least he doesn’t blame agency theory). And here is Winter answering the question, “Is capitalism dead?” Note his comments about “people on the extreme right.” Neither Winter nor Rivlin leave much doubt about where they stand politically.
UPDATE: There is more Winter on YouTube: “Inflation or Deflation,” “Economic Cassandras,” and “The Price of Oil.” They are all very recent and done under the auspices of the Australian School of Business.
9 comments 10 June 2009
Is the Future in Contract Manufacturing?
| Benito Arruñada |
The purchase of Opel by Magna shows the strength of contract manufacturers and their strategies, which I discussed with Xosé H. Vázquez in our 2006 article in the Harvard Business Review. Once thought of as a lifebelt for the decreasing margins of large-brand owners, contract manufacturing has now become a major source of competition. Shanghai Automotive Industry Corporation (SAIC), which learned the business by producing initially for Volkswagen and GM, has actually started to sell its own cars in Europe and North America. It has even bought R&D knowledge, acquiring from bankrupt MG Rover the drawings needed to build the Rover 25, Rover 45, and Rover 75.
The economic crisis is accelerating this process. The need to liberate assets to increase ROI has been facilitated by technological and organizational change. This is stimulating business practices at the corporate level that are pushing outsourcing practices to dangerous limits. The wrong management of contract manufacturing will thus increasingly provoke knowledge leaks to direct competitors and the loss of internal manufacturing knowledge; more importantly, it will continue to eliminate barriers to entry, allowing large distributors and contract manufacturers themselves to market their own brands much more easily.
3 comments 9 June 2009
De Figueiredo on Political Strategy
| Peter Klein |
We’ve previously mentioned the chapters by Nicolai and Nils Stieglitz and by Lasse and me in the forthcoming Advances in Strategic Management volume titled Economic Institutions of Strategy. John de Figueiredo’s chapter, “Integrated Political Strategy,” is now available as an NBER Working Paper. John is a leader of this emerging field, which studies how firms attempt to influence the legal and political environment to achieve competitive advantage. As he points out:
Legal and acceptable competitive behavior is determined endogenously by legislators, regulators and judges who are influenced, positively and negatively, by the very same firms the regulations are designed to control. By understanding the theories of how firms affect politics, one can better determine how to gain competitive advantage through political institutions. This is a natural extension of the traditional tools of strategic management. Moreover, for young scholars, this is an area in which the lines of investigation are clear and the openings for serious research opportunities available. In this sense, it is robust area for future research and major contributions to understanding firm performance.
1 comment 9 June 2009
